While the dot-com boom's standard bearers were
never shy about hype, the companies involved in the
Internet's next wave Web 2.0 are a little more
self-deprecating. For instance, there's sales services
company Cerado's
"Web 2.0 or Star Wars
Character?", an amusing quiz that challenges you to
distinguish real 2.0 companies from film creations. The
movement's proponents say this time they're
for real, but they've still got some convincing to
do.
Stamford, Conn.-based research firm Gartner calls the online
social networking and collaboration that define Web 2.0 "a
significant wave of often-overdue Web business refreshes." Its
2006 Hype Cycle report lists Web 2.0 as the No. 1 technology
theme to watch in the next 10 years for having
"transformational, high or moderate impact." And in its
Predicts 2007 report Gartner says that by the end of 2007, 30%
of large companies will have some form of Web 2.0-enabled
business initiative underway.
According to a MoneyTree Report by PricewaterhouseCoopers
and the National Venture Capital Association, Internet-specific
companies captured $1.1 billion (how much of that is Web
2.0-specific is unknown) of venture capital funding in Q3 2006,
or 17% of total investment a four-year high. Peter Rip,
partner at San Francisco-based investment firm Crosslink
Capital and Menlo Park, Calif.-based Leapfrog Ventures (and
himself a
blogger), says that while
he's seen a lot of Web 2.0 businesses, he's
invested in only four of them in as many years, for a total of
about US$18 million. Crosslink has about US$1 billion under
management and Leapfrog has about US$200 million. Says Rip,
"There's more imitation than innovation going on in
Web 2.0, a lot of variation on a theme."
He attributes the proliferation of Web 2.0 companies to the
combination of open source and existing programming being
widely available along with the reduced cost of computing. This
has meant companies can get started on tens of thousands of
dollars rather than the millions required in the past.
George Tsiolis, president of Toronto-based
Agoracom, an investor relations firm for
small-cap companies, has jumped on Web 2.0 tools like blogging
and RSS for his customer-facing applications. But he's
holding off when it comes to internal tools. "We know
they're out there," says Tsiolis, "but we just want to
hear more. You want to protect your core business at the end of
the day. We don't want to be in that experimental
stage where we need to get something done because a prospective
client is waiting for something and the software is acting in a
way that we're not familiar with and it delays us
getting out critical information."
Greg Dowling, an analyst with New York-based Jupiter
Research, points out that some larger organizations have begun
moving to Web 2.0, albeit slowly. A 2006 Jupiter survey of
companies with $50 million revenue says 30% of executives
report already deploying
wiki technology, and 40% have deployed RSS
feeds. A further 68% have either deployed or are about to
deploy internal corporate blogs. Some of the key stumbling
blocks for larger enterprise include information control and
security. Stuart MacDonald, Expedia.ca founder and co-founder
of Canadian Web 2.0 conference
MESH, says he expects these will be the
hottest conversations at the next conference in May 2007.
Ismael Ghalimi, organizer of the
Office 2.0 conference in San Francisco,
concurs. "In enterprise, rules around security, governance, and
compliance make the adoption of anything new an uphill battle."
He thinks larger enterprise will likely adopt 2.0 applications,
such as CRM or calendar options, individually as they suit the
organization's needs.
He says the tipping point could be the entrance of Microsoft
and Google Apps For Your Domain (which allows companies to use
services like Google Talk under their own domain names). "Once
Microsoft makes a first release for MS Live (a set of Web-based
search tools) that will be the signal for the average user to
start transitioning."
However, Jupiter's Dowling identifies as the
biggest barrier not just security issues but, among larger
organizations, cultural resistance to information sharing and
collaboration. "No matter what kind of security assurances
Google could provide, that's still a risk that I
don't think enterprises are willing to take in the
near term."
By way of solution, Gartner recommends that organizations
interested in 2.0 "should allocate a two- or three-person team
of business-oriented IT department colleagues to investigate
Web 2.0 ??. CIOs should choose team members based on
open-mindedness, analytical capability, insight and the ability
to truly think differently."
No matter what the rate of enterprise adoption, at least
some elements of Web 2.0 are here to stay. Says MESH's
MacDonald, "If you think about the amount of time you already
spend in a browser window accessing services over the Internet
and how much that has changed over the past few years,
there's no reason to think that's going to do
anything but continue."