WASHINGTON – U.S. home construction rebounded in July, rising to an eight-month high and offering hope that housing has regained momentum after two months of declines.
Construction increased 15.7 per cent in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.09 million homes, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. That was the fastest pace since November and followed declines of 4 per cent in June and 7.4 per cent in May.
Applications for building permits, considered a good sign of future activity, also showed strength in July, advancing 8.1 per cent to an annual rate of 1.05 million, after declines of 3.1 per cent in June and 5.1 per cent in May.
The July rebound reflected strength in single-family home construction, which rose 8.3 per cent, and in apartment construction, which was up 33 per cent.
The strength in July was led by a 44 per cent rise in construction starts in the Northeast. Housing construction was up 29 per cent in the South, recovering from a 26.8 per cent plunge the month before blamed in part on heavy rains in that part of the country. Sales rose 18.6 per cent in the West but fell 24.8 per cent in the Midwest.
Economists noted that the July performance was much better than expected, and June was revised significantly higher, both good signs for the future.
Sal Guatieri, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, said solid job growth and a recent decline in mortgage rates were helping boost construction. But he said weak wage growth and tight lending standards were still depressing activity, especially among first-time buyers.
A report Monday indicated homebuilders are feeling more confident about their sales prospects, a hopeful sign that home construction and sales of newly built homes could pick up after stalling in recent months.
The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo builder sentiment index rose in August to 55, up two points from a revised 53 for July. That is the third straight monthly increase and put the index at its highest reading since January, when it was 56. Readings above 50 indicate more builders view sales conditions as good rather than poor.
Builders’ views of current sales conditions for single-family homes, their outlook for sales over the next six months and traffic by prospective buyers all increased in August, brightening the outlook.
Sales of new homes are running behind last year’s pace. They fell 8.1 per cent in June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 406,000.
A mix of rising home prices, higher mortgage rates and weak wage growth have made it more difficult for potential buyers to buy a newly built home. These factors have particularly depressed demand by first-time buyers.
But economists are still looking for a rebound, given the fact that the U.S. economy has been adding jobs at a healthy clip with gains topping 200,000 jobs for six straight months through July.
Housing, while still a long way from the boom of the last decade, has been recovering over the past two years. Though new homes represent only a fraction of the housing market, they have an outsize impact on the economy. Each home built creates an average of three jobs for a year and generates about $90,000 in tax revenue, according to data from the Home Builders.