Philippine economy led by services expands 7.8 per cent in first quarter, highest in years

MANILA, Philippines – The Philippine economy expanded 7.8 per cent in the first quarter, the fastest pace since 2010 and outpacing China, led by growth in services and industry.

Officials said Thursday that the quarterly growth rate was the highest since reformist President Benigno Aquino III took office in 2010 on a promise to fight corruption and cut poverty. Aquino’s allies won majorities in both houses of Congress in elections early this month, making it possible for Aquino to push through with his legislative agenda in the remaining three years in power.

The Philippines has bucked a regional trend of slowing growth amid recession in Europe and a slow recovery in the United States. It expanded faster than Asian powerhouse China, where the economy unexpectedly slowed to 7.7 per cent growth in the first quarter.

Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Arsenio Balisacan said the Philippines hopes to achieve a target of 7 per cent to 8 per cent annual growth by 2016.

The fourth-quarter 2012 growth was revised from 6.8 per cent to 7.1 per cent. In 2012, the economy grew 6.8 per cent.

Despite the impressive growth figures, the Philippines faces many challenges. Among them, the global slowdown, excessive capital inflows and natural disasters, an annual occurrence in the Southeast Asian country where poor infrastructure and rice fields suffer damage from typhoons and floods.

“Disasters can negate the gains and even push back development. Moreover, the global economy remains fragile, negatively affecting our trade performance,” Balisacan told reporters.

“Due to the attractive investment opportunities, we are also at risk of receiving too much capital inflows as advanced economies implement quantitative easing. The challenge is to channel these inflows into productive investments,” he said.

All sectors contributed to the first-quarter growth, with services growing 7 per cent, industry 10.9 per cent and agriculture 3.3 per cent.

Increased consumer and government spending was accompanied by investment in construction, the National Statistical Coordination Board said.

Domestic consumption remained the main driver of growth, fueled by remittances from about 10 million overseas Filipino workers. Last year, they sent back $24 billion, which accounts for 10 per cent of the country’s economic output. It makes the Philippines the third largest recipient of remittances in the world, after India and China and on par with Mexico.

There has been little progress in job creation. The Asian Development Bank says that nearly half of those working within the country are classified as vulnerable — unpaid family workers and the self-employed, mostly in the informal sector. Economists have urged the government to diversify the economy by revamping the educational system and providing employment opportunities in manufacturing.

The proliferation of call centres has made outsourcing one of the fastest growing industries with revenue of $11 billion in 2011. But for the large pool of unskilled labour, those jobs are out of reach. Poverty rates remain high, with about a third of the population living on $2 a day.

Balisacan said that the government understood that for growth to be inclusive, the poor must be linked to the growth industries.

“The faster this can be done, the better it will be for the greater number of our people,” he said.