Hot Topic: Harper slightly preferred for economic leadership

Choosing Harper because of the economy.

Toronto, April 15th, 2013 – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 1254 Canadians 18 years of age and older, just more, about one third, preferred Prime Minister Stephen Harper to Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau (about 3-in-10) for a variety of economic leadership dimensions, including providing economic leadership (Harper 34%, Trudeau 30%), handling the deficit (Harper 37%, Trudeau 31%) and solving Canada’s pension shortfall (Harper 31%, Trudeau 29%). Attributes where Trudeau performed as well or better than Harper include solving Canada’s high unemployment rate (Harper 32%, Trudeau 31%) and addressing the skills shortage (Harper 30%, Trudeau 31%). NDP leader Thomas Mulcair is not preferred on any measure (22%, 16%, 22%, 20% and 22%, respectively). In general, the Prime Minister is preferred in Alberta, while Mr. Trudeau and Mr. Mulcair are preferred in Eastern Canada.

Just more than a third approve of electoral cooperation between the NDP and the Liberals (36%), while one half are against this idea (52%). Interest is highest among the least wealthy (<$20K – 48%) and in Quebec (48%), and lowest in Alberta (18%). Results when respondents are asked if they would vote for cooperating parties are very similar (37% yes).
“Justin Trudeau has largely erased the traditional Conservative hegemony on economic competence, and he’s likely to exceed Stephen Harper on this measure soon, given some of the government’s economic missteps,” said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at or at (416) 960-9603.

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